Democrats 'outperforming expectations' in fight for control of US Congress

Republicans are on track to flip the seats necessary to win control of the lower house - but only by a handful of seats instead of the larger margin expected. The contest for the Senate remains too close to call.

US President Joe Biden (left), Democrat John Fetterman (centre), and Mr Fetterman's supporters (right).

US President Joe Biden (left), Democrat John Fetterman (centre), and Mr Fetterman's supporters (right). Republican hopes for a "red wave" of victories faded as Democrats showed surprising resilience in several key races. Source: AAP

HIGHLIGHTS
  • Thirty-six of the 50 states are electing governors in the US midterm elections.
  • The vote count is particularly close in Pennsylvania, Nevada, Georgia and Arizona.
  • The results carry high stakes for issues such as abortion access and transgender rights.
The US midterm election results are still being tallied with the control of the US Congress hanging in the balance.

Many of the most competitive races uncalled, leaving it unclear whether Republicans would crack Democrats' tenuous hold on power.

In a critical win for President Joe Biden's party, Democrat John Fetterman flipped a Republican-held US Senate seat in Pennsylvania, beating Republican celebrity doctor Mehmet Oz and bolstering his party's chances of holding the chamber.

The mood at the White House improved as the night wore on, with once-nervous aides allowing smiles to creep onto their faces and saying early signs for Democrats were better than expected.

On Twitter, Mr Biden posted a photo of himself happily congratulating some of the Democratic winners by phone.
In the House of Representatives, Republicans remained favored to win a majority that would allow them to halt Joe Biden's legislative agenda.

By early Wednesday, the party had flipped six Democratic House seats, Edison Research projected, one more than the minimum they need to take over the chamber.

That number could change. Only 13 of the 53 most competitive races, based on a Reuters analysis of the leading nonpartisan forecasters, had been decided, raising the prospect that the final outcome may not be known for some time.

The party that occupies the White House almost always loses seats in elections midway through a president's first four-year term, and Mr Biden has struggled with low public approval for more than a year.

But Republican hopes for a "red wave" of victories faded as Democrats showed surprising resilience in several key races.
Democrats were projected as the winners in 11 of the 13 close contests that had been decided.

"Definitely not a Republican wave, that's for darn sure," Republican US Senator Lindsey Graham told NBC in an interview.

The Democratic speaker of the House, Nancy Pelosi, said in a statement "It is clear that House Democratic members and candidates are strongly outperforming expectations around the country".

Voter anger over the Supreme Court's June decision to overturn the nationwide right to abortion helped Democrats to curb their losses.

A Republican majority in the House, even a narrow one, would be able to block Mr Biden's priorities while launching politically damaging investigations into his administration and family.

Senate a toss-up

The Senate was still a toss-up, with pivotal battles in Arizona, Georgia and Nevada still in play.

The Georgia Senate race could end up in a 6 December runoff, possibly with Senate control at stake. Democrats currently control the 50-50 Senate with Vice President Kamala Harris able to break any ties.

Thirty-five Senate seats, all 435 House seats and three dozen governors' races were on the ballot. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, a leading contender for the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, added to his growing national profile with a dominant victory over Democratic Representative Charlie Crist, Edison projected.
Donald and Melania Trump standing on a footpath next to a sign that reads "VOTE HERE".
Former US president Donald Trump with his wife, former first lady Melania Trump, after voting at a polling station in Palm Beach, Florida. Mr Trump has frequently hinted at a third presidential run. Source: Getty / Joe Raedle
More than 46 million Americans voted ahead of Election Day, either by mail or in person, according to data from the US Election Project, and state election officials caution that counting those ballots will take time.

High inflation and abortion rights were voters' top concerns, with about three in ten voters picking one or the other as their top concern, exit polls showed. Crime, a major focus in Republican messaging in the campaign's final weeks, was the top issue for just about one in ten voters.

Competitive districts

Both parties notched victories in competitive districts.

In Virginia's 2nd congressional district, Democratic US Representative Elaine Luria lost to Republican challenger Jennifer Kiggans in a district Biden carried by two points. But in the state's 7th district, which Mr Biden won in 2020 by 7 percentage points, Representative Abigail Spanberger held off a Republican challenger.

Local officials reported isolated problems across the country, including a paper shortage in a Pennsylvania county. In Maricopa County, Arizona - a key battleground - a judge rejected a Republican request to extend voting hours after some tabulation machines malfunctioned.

The problems stoked evidence-free claims among Republican former President Donald Trump and his supporters that the failures were deliberate.
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Congress in the balance as US midterm votes are cast image

Congress in the balance as US midterm votes are cast

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09/11/202203:52
Scores of Republican candidates have echoed Mr Trump's false claims that his 2020 loss to Biden was due to widespread fraud, raising fears among Democrats that they could interfere with the 2024 presidential race.

In Pennsylvania, Republican gubernatorial candidate Doug Mastriano, who sought to overturn the state's election results after Mr Trump lost, was defeated by Democrat Josh Shapiro.

Democratic governors also fended off strong Republican challenges in Michigan and Wisconsin, two states likely to remain political battlegrounds in the 2024 presidential race.

Mr Trump, who cast his ballot in Florida, has frequently hinted at a third presidential run. He said on Monday that he would make a "big announcement" on 15 November.

Economic worries

Voters in Michigan, Vermont and California approved referendums enshrining abortion rights in their state constitutions; a measure that would establish Kentucky's state constitution does not protect abortion was too close to call.

The primary issue weighing on Democrats was stubbornly high annual inflation, which at 8.2 per cent stands at the highest rate in 40 years.

"The economy is terrible. I blame the current administration for that," said Bethany Hadelman, who said she voted for Republican candidates in Alpharetta, Georgia.
A Reuters/Ipsos poll this week found just 39 per cent of Americans approved of the way Biden has done his job. Some Democratic candidates deliberately distanced themselves from the White House as Mr Biden's popularity languished.

Mr Trump's polling is similarly low, with just 41 per cent of respondents to a separate recent Reuters/Ipsos poll saying they viewed him favorably.

In Congress, a Republican-controlled House would be able to thwart Democratic priorities such as abortion rights and climate change, while a Republican Senate would hold sway over Mr Biden's judicial nominations, including any Supreme Court vacancy.

Republicans could also initiate a showdown over the country's debt ceiling, which could shake financial markets.

Republicans will have the power to block aid to Ukraine if they win back control of Congress, but analysts say they are more likely to slow or pare back the flow of defense and economic assistance.

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6 min read
Published 9 November 2022 7:28am
Updated 9 November 2022 10:49pm
Source: Reuters

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